The Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks meet Friday in game three of NBA playoff action at the HP Field House.    

Miami team have taken a commanding 2-0 second-round playoff series lead over the Milwaukee Bucks after a wild finish with a walk-off free throw by Jimmy Butler to seal the Heat win of the Eastern Conference.

However, Miami has now won four of its five games against Milwaukee this season.

Miami Heat are averaging 112.7 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 103.5 points on 45.7 percent shooting.

Goran Dragic is averaging 23.5 points and 4.8 assists while Jimmy Butler is averaging 22 points and 4.7 rebounds.

Tyler Herro is the third double-digit scorer and Bam Adebayo is dishing five assists. The Miami Heat are shooting 38.8 percent from beyond the arc and 80.3 percent from the free throw line.

Miami Heat are allowing 37.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.

Milwaukee Bucks need a victory here to shave the series lead to 1-2.

Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 114.1 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 109.4 points on 43.1 percent shooting.

The Nigerian descent Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.6 points and 14.9 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 18 points and 5.6 assists.

Brook Lopez is the third double-digit scorer and Eric Bledsoe is dishing 5.8 assists. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc and 71.8 percent from the free throw line.

Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 37.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48 rebounds per game.

Betting Analysis

The frustrated Bucks were starting to let their emotions get involved as they faced a 2-0 series hole. I think that there is going to be more physicality in Game 3, and a quicker whistle to keep the game composed. With more free throw opportunities, I lean with the over.

On the other hand, if Milwaukee is able to get back to its pace and play their more standard game, which will take Giannis playing more and Bud making in-game adjustments that we haven’t seen yet, this game should also go over, as the Bucks should push closer to 115-120 points. I’m going to stay away from the Bucks team total and go for the game over instead.

Milwaukee is in a must-win situation, so expect their best effort, but I need them to show that they are capable of adapting to the game going on before backing them. I’m more confident that we see a lot of free throws and think the over is the best bet as we figure out how Milwaukee counters Miami’s depth.

But the 2–0 hole is definitely the most adversity Giannis has faced since his arrival on the elite stage at the start of last season.

There’s no Kawhi or LeBron bogeyman left in the East. Antetokoumnpo is the best player, and his team is expected to make the Finals. His back is against the wall.

How will he respond? As a fan, it’s exciting to see a superstar in this position, because desperation often fuels greatness.

PREDICTIONS: Away win for Buck with 1.55 odds on Betpay


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