Newcastle United have been inconsistent but entertaining in the Premier League (PL) this season (W3, D2, L3), with five of their last six league fixtures featuring both teams scoring. However, no clean sheet in seven league matches is their worst run since conceding in 11 straight games in 2017. Although they’ve lost by 2+ goals three times already this term, it’s notable that the last four PL H2Hs were all decided by a one-goal margin (Newcastle: W1, L3).

All four of Newcastle’s home league games this season (W2, L2) have produced over 2.5 goals, with five (83.33%) of the six second-half goals they’ve conceded arriving after the 75th minute. An average of 0.88 first-half goals per home PL game is the second lowest in the league this season.

Coincidentally, 0.88 is also the average bookings per league game that Chelsea have received this season – the league’s equal-best record. The ‘Blues’ haven’t lost in 11 competitive matches (W6, D5 – 90 minutes), which is their best run since 2018 (18). Netting 3+ goals in five of their last six PL games (W3, D3), no side has scored more PL goals (20) than Chelsea.

With one win in seven PL visits to St James’ Park (D1, L5), they’ve struggled here but could look to the coach for inspiration: nobody’s scored more goals (four) in PL H2Hs here than manager Frank Lampard! Meanwhile, they’ve registered seven (77.78%) of nine PL away goals this term after the break.

The Blues look good for a win after the international break and Betpay is offering odds of 1.55 for that eventuality.

Prediction: Newcastle 1-2 Chelsea


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