A return of one win from the last five league matches (W1, D1, L3) has usurped Leeds United’s energetic start to the Premier League (PL) season. After the 4-1 reversal at Crystal Palace in the last round, Leeds have now conceded 17 goals across their first eight PL matches – the most they’ve conceded at this stage in a top-flight campaign since the 1946/47 season.

At home, Leeds are dealing with back-to-back defeats for the first time under Marcelo Bielsa, and a narrow win against Fulham remains their only victory across four PL home matches (D1, L2). Three of the four matches featured over 10.5 corners, with a 12.25 average.

The famous phrase ‘1-0 to The Arsenal’ could be extended to opposition teams also, with three of their last four league games (W1, L3) being won/lost 1-0. Their tally of nine goals scored is relatively poor at this stage and just two teams outside the bottom three have scored fewer (ahead of the round).

Arsenal are unpredictable travellers (W2, L2), but have fired the first goal in three (W2, L1) of their four away league matches. It is ten top-flight away days since Arsenal last split the points (W4, L6), with seven of those ten seeing just one side find the net. Their four away league games have also been feisty affairs, featuring 4.75 yellow cards on average.

Players to watch: Six of Patrick Bamford’s seven PL goals for Leeds have come in away matches so far, but Leeds won the sole home match in which he scored.

Leeds have proven themselves a constant goal threat while Arsenal aren’t shy of the goal either. Our bookies predict that both teams will score and Betpay has odds of 1.55 for that possibility.

Prediction: Leeds 2-1 Arsenal


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