A thumping 5-0 win in the reverse fixture means Liverpool enter UEFA Champions League (UCL) matchday four top of Group D (without conceding) and knowing that a win will guarantee progression to the knockout stages. Despite much focus on injuries in recent weeks, Liverpool beat Leicester 3-0 at the weekend and have now won six of their last seven in all competitions (D1), thrice overcoming a -1 handicap.

Discounting the less prioritised EFL Cup, Liverpool have a 100% record across six competitive home matches this season, scoring two or more goals in all six and 2.67 on average per match. That record has been achieved despite conceding first in three of those, and due to a strong late superiority, Liverpool have won five straight second halves ‘to nil’ at home, scoring in the 85 minute or later in five straight home wins (again, excluding the EFL Cup).

Atalanta, meanwhile, have drawn two straight domestic matches after the heavy defeat to Liverpool, uncharacteristically in matches featuring under 2.5 goals – all nine of their preceding matches featured at least three goals, and averaged a whopping 4.78! It’s also just one win across their last six for Atalanta (D3, L2), but they’re currently tied on points with Ajax in the hunt for second place in the group.

Away from home, Atalanta have won their only UCL trip this season and three straight European matches overall, while scoring 3.67 goals on average. What’s more, they’ve recorded four wins from six on the road in all competitions this season (D1, L1), while averaging 3.83 goals per match (total). Continuing the goals theme, their two prior trips to England featured a 5-1 win (Everton) and 5-1 defeat (Manchester City).

The Premier League champions have suffered some unfortunate injuries this season but have continued to blossom and our tipsters have given this to them with 1.80 odds and you can find it on Betpay.

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