Despite losing to Atalanta on matchday four (2-0), Liverpool can still book a place in the knockout rounds of the UEFA Champions League (UCL) with a win here. The reverse fixture was settled via a first-half own goal by Ajax, and encouragingly for Liverpool, their defeat in the last UCL matchday was the only home defeat across their last 11 UCL group stage home matches.

A domestic draw at the weekend means Liverpool have won just one of their last four competitive matches (D2, L1), of which just one featured over 2.5 goals. Not counting the EFL Cup, Liverpool had won all six competitive home matches before the Atalanta clash, scoring 2+ goals in all wins, and overcoming the -1.5 handicap in three.

Ajax, meanwhile, continued their scintillating form in the weekend, recording their sixth win in a row across all competitions. Impressingly, they scored 3.83 goals on average across those matches. Indeed, the reverse fixture is just one of two competitive matches this season in which they’ve failed to find the net.

The Dutch champions won 5-0 in their last competitive away match, and are unbeaten across their first two in this UCL group (W1, D1). Curiously, they’ve scored all of their four goals across the two UCL away matches in the first half. Across their last five competitive away matches, meanwhile, they’ve scored 11 first-half goals while conceding just one!

The Dutch giants are an exciting club but Liverpool should have enough to go past them and Betpay is offering odds of 1.80 for a win for the Reds.

Prediction: Liverpool 3-1 Ajax


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